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Sunday 6 November 2016, 21:45 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
39% 21% 40%
Home win
38.9%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
39.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 38.9% 2.57
Draw 21.3% 4.69
Barcelona 39.8% 2.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.9% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.1% 47.55
Over 1.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.1% 12.30
Over 2.5 77.4% 1.29
Under 2.5 22.6% 4.43
Over 3.5 58.3% 1.72
Under 3.5 41.7% 2.40
Over 4.5 38.8% 2.58
Under 4.5 61.2% 1.63

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 76.2% 1.31
No 23.8% 4.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 60.2% 1.66
Sevilla / Barcelona 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Barcelona 61.1% 1.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.1
3.0
3.6
2.4
1.3
0.5
1
3.0
7.4
7.2
4.9
2.5
1.0
2
3.5
7.1
7.3
5.0
2.6
1.1
3
2.3
4.8
5.0
3.4
1.7
0.7
4
1.2
2.4
2.5
1.7
0.9
0.4
5
0.5
1.0
1.0
0.7
0.4
0.1
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.