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Sunday 2 October 2016, 21:45 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
Celta Vigo
4–3
HT 3–0
Barcelona
10% 14% 76%
Home win
9.7%
Draw
14.5%
Away win
75.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 9.7% 10.35 — —
Draw 14.5% 6.92 — —
Barcelona 75.9% 1.32 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.6% 1.02 — —
Under 0.5 2.4% 42.54 — —
Over 1.5 90.5% 1.10 — —
Under 1.5 9.5% 10.55 — —
Over 2.5 74.9% 1.34 — —
Under 2.5 25.1% 3.98 — —
Over 3.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Under 3.5 45.1% 2.22 — —
Over 4.5 35.4% 2.83 — —
Under 4.5 64.6% 1.55 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.2% 1.66 — —
No 39.8% 2.51 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 24.1% 4.15 — —
Celta Vigo / Barcelona 85.5% 1.17 — —
Draw / Barcelona 90.3% 1.11 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.4
5.5
8.5
8.2
6.0
3.5
1
1.7
6.2
8.5
8.2
6.0
3.5
2
1.0
2.9
4.3
4.1
3.0
1.7
3
0.3
1.0
1.4
1.4
1.0
0.6
4
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Celta Vigo
L L D W W
Barcelona
W L W D W

Head to head

Apr 2026 Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo Nov 2025 Celta Vigo 2-4 Barcelona Apr 2025 Barcelona 4-3 Celta Vigo Nov 2024 Celta Vigo 2-2 Barcelona Feb 2024 Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona Sep 2023 Barcelona 3-2 Celta Vigo

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.