Sunday 25 September 2016, 21:45
RCDE Stadium
Full time
45%
25%
29%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
29.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.6% | 5.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| No | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol / Draw | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Espanyol / Celta Vigo | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
6.0
|
4.4
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
11.8
|
7.3
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
9.3
|
6.1
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
5.2
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Espanyol
2-2
Celta Vigo
Nov 2025
Celta Vigo
0-1
Espanyol
Apr 2025
Celta Vigo
0-2
Espanyol
Nov 2024
Espanyol
3-1
Celta Vigo
Mar 2023
Espanyol
1-3
Celta Vigo
Aug 2022
Celta Vigo
2-2
Espanyol
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.