Saturday 17 December 2016, 21:45
Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Full time
55%
22%
23%
Home win
55.3%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
23.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.6% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Malaga | 23.2% | 4.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.8% | 7.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla / Draw | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Sevilla / Malaga | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
3.5
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
9.2
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
9.4
|
6.4
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
6.8
|
4.6
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
3.7
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.