Saturday 26 November 2016, 14:00
La Rosaleda
Full time
61%
23%
16%
Home win
61.3%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
15.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.1% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.1% | 7.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Malaga / Deportivo La Coruna | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
4.9
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
11.0
|
4.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
9.8
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Deportivo La Coruna
3-2
Malaga
Nov 2017
Malaga
3-2
Deportivo La Coruna
Apr 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
2-0
Malaga
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.