Sunday 16 October 2016, 13:00
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
49%
29%
22%
Home win
49.4%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
21.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Malaga | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.7% | 8.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.3% | 13.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Alaves / Malaga | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.7
|
8.3
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.5
|
13.3
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
8.7
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.