Friday 23 September 2016, 21:45
Benito Villamarín
Full time
44%
27%
28%
Home win
44.3%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
28.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Malaga | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.1% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.2% | 8.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis / Draw | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Real Betis / Malaga | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
7.7
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
13.1
|
7.0
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
9.1
|
5.1
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.9
|
4.4
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.