Monday 30 April 2018, 22:00
Benito Villamarín
Full time
54%
26%
20%
Home win
53.8%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
20.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Malaga | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.7% | 11.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.2% | 8.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis / Draw | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Real Betis / Malaga | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.7
|
6.5
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
12.4
|
5.3
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
9.5
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
5.1
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.