Sunday 15 April 2018, 21:45
La Rosaleda
Full time
14%
20%
66%
Home win
14.2%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
65.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 14.2% | 7.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Malaga / Real Madrid | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
8.9
|
10.5
|
7.7
|
4.3
|
1.9
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
9.4
|
9.8
|
7.2
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
| 2 |
1.9
|
4.2
|
4.6
|
3.4
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.3
|
1.4
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.