Sunday 21 May 2017, 21:00
La Rosaleda
Full time
20%
21%
59%
Home win
20.3%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
58.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Malaga / Real Madrid | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
6.2
|
7.5
|
5.6
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
| 1 |
3.3
|
9.0
|
9.5
|
7.1
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
| 2 |
2.4
|
5.4
|
6.0
|
4.5
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
2.3
|
2.6
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.