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Saturday 6 May 2017, 21:45 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
7% 12% 80%
Home win
7.0%
Draw
12.5%
Away win
80.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 7.0% 14.24
Draw 12.5% 8.01
Real Madrid 80.5% 1.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.3% 43.57
Over 1.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.4% 10.60
Over 2.5 75.0% 1.33
Under 2.5 25.0% 4.00
Over 3.5 55.1% 1.81
Under 3.5 44.9% 2.23
Over 4.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 4.5 64.4% 1.55

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.4% 1.80
No 44.6% 2.24

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 19.5% 5.13
Granada CF / Real Madrid 87.5% 1.14
Draw / Real Madrid 93.0% 1.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.3
5.7
9.3
9.5
7.2
4.4
1
1.4
5.5
8.0
8.2
6.2
3.8
2
0.7
2.3
3.5
3.5
2.7
1.6
3
0.2
0.6
1.0
1.0
0.8
0.5
4
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.