Sunday 9 April 2017, 13:00
Nuevo Los Cármenes
Full time
28%
25%
47%
Home win
28.5%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
46.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Valencia | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.0% | 5.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.0% | 5.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF / Draw | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Granada CF / Valencia | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
7.4
|
7.0
|
4.1
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
11.3
|
9.4
|
5.5
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
7.1
|
6.2
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
3.1
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2024
Granada CF
0-1
Valencia
Nov 2023
Valencia
1-0
Granada CF
Mar 2022
Valencia
3-1
Granada CF
Aug 2021
Granada CF
1-1
Valencia
Mar 2021
Valencia
2-1
Granada CF
Dec 2020
Granada CF
2-1
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.