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Saturday 11 March 2017, 21:45 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
13% 21% 66%
Home win
12.6%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
66.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 12.6% 7.95
Draw 21.0% 4.77
Atletico Madrid 66.4% 1.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.43
Over 1.5 77.9% 1.28
Under 1.5 22.1% 4.53
Over 2.5 53.7% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.3% 2.16
Over 3.5 31.4% 3.18
Under 3.5 68.6% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.7% 6.39
Under 4.5 84.3% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.6% 2.10
No 52.4% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 33.6% 2.98
Granada CF / Atletico Madrid 79.0% 1.27
Draw / Atletico Madrid 87.4% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
11.6
12.4
8.5
4.4
1.8
1
4.0
10.0
9.7
6.6
3.4
1.4
2
1.8
3.7
3.8
2.6
1.3
0.5
3
0.5
1.0
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.