Saturday 15 April 2017, 17:15
El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini
Full time
11%
16%
73%
Home win
11.1%
Draw
15.9%
Away win
73.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 11.1% | 9.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.9% | 6.30 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 36.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.8% | 9.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| No | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon / Draw | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Sporting Gijon / Real Madrid | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
6.1
|
8.8
|
8.0
|
5.5
|
3.0
|
| 1 |
2.0
|
6.9
|
8.9
|
8.1
|
5.6
|
3.0
|
| 2 |
1.2
|
3.3
|
4.5
|
4.1
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
1.1
|
1.5
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.