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Saturday 15 April 2017, 17:15 El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini Full time
11% 16% 73%
Home win
11.1%
Draw
15.9%
Away win
73.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon 11.1% 9.04
Draw 15.9% 6.30
Real Madrid 73.1% 1.37

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.2% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.8% 36.32
Over 1.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.8% 9.25
Over 2.5 72.2% 1.38
Under 2.5 27.8% 3.60
Over 3.5 51.5% 1.94
Under 3.5 48.5% 2.06
Over 4.5 32.2% 3.11
Under 4.5 67.8% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.0% 1.67
No 40.0% 2.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon / Draw 26.9% 3.71
Sporting Gijon / Real Madrid 84.1% 1.19
Draw / Real Madrid 88.9% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.8
6.1
8.8
8.0
5.5
3.0
1
2.0
6.9
8.9
8.1
5.6
3.0
2
1.2
3.3
4.5
4.1
2.8
1.5
3
0.4
1.1
1.5
1.4
1.0
0.5
4
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sporting Gijon goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.