Saturday 8 April 2017, 17:15
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
48%
25%
27%
Home win
48.3%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
26.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.3% | 5.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Atletico Madrid | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
5.8
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
11.8
|
6.8
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
9.5
|
5.8
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
5.4
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
2.3
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Real Madrid
3-2
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2025
Atletico Madrid
5-2
Real Madrid
Feb 2025
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2024
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Real Madrid
Feb 2024
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2023
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.