Sunday 14 May 2017, 21:00
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
66%
18%
16%
Home win
66.4%
Draw
17.9%
Away win
15.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.9% | 5.60 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 15.7% | 6.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 39.45 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.9% | 10.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.1% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| No | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Sevilla | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
2.2
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
7.3
|
4.3
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
9.0
|
5.6
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
7.8
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
5.1
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.2
|
2.7
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sevilla
0-1
Real Madrid
Dec 2025
Real Madrid
2-0
Sevilla
May 2025
Sevilla
0-2
Real Madrid
Dec 2024
Real Madrid
4-2
Sevilla
Feb 2024
Real Madrid
1-0
Sevilla
Oct 2023
Sevilla
1-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.