Monday 1 May 2017, 22:00
La Rosaleda
Full time
29%
27%
44%
Home win
28.6%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
44.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.2% | 8.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Malaga / Sevilla | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
10.2
|
8.0
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
13.1
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.8
|
7.0
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.6
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.