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Saturday 8 April 2017, 21:45 La Rosaleda Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
11% 17% 72%
Home win
10.8%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
72.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Malaga 10.8% 9.26
Draw 16.8% 5.96
Barcelona 72.4% 1.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.5% 28.18
Over 1.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.5% 7.42
Over 2.5 67.3% 1.48
Under 2.5 32.7% 3.06
Over 3.5 45.7% 2.19
Under 3.5 54.3% 1.84
Over 4.5 26.9% 3.72
Under 4.5 73.1% 1.37

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.7% 1.80
No 44.3% 2.26

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Malaga / Draw 27.6% 3.63
Malaga / Barcelona 83.2% 1.20
Draw / Barcelona 89.2% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.5
7.5
10.2
8.7
5.5
2.8
1
2.4
7.7
9.3
7.9
5.1
2.6
2
1.3
3.3
4.2
3.6
2.3
1.2
3
0.4
1.0
1.3
1.1
0.7
0.4
4
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Malaga goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.