Saturday 8 April 2017, 21:45
La Rosaleda
Full time
11%
17%
72%
Home win
10.8%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
72.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 10.8% | 9.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.8% | 5.96 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.5% | 7.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Malaga / Barcelona | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
7.5
|
10.2
|
8.7
|
5.5
|
2.8
|
| 1 |
2.4
|
7.7
|
9.3
|
7.9
|
5.1
|
2.6
|
| 2 |
1.3
|
3.3
|
4.2
|
3.6
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
1.0
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.