Saturday 4 March 2017, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
83%
11%
6%
Home win
82.5%
Draw
11.1%
Away win
6.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.1% | 9.04 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 6.4% | 15.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.3% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.7% | 59.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.2% | 13.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Celta Vigo | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 17.5% | 5.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.5
|
4.6
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
7.3
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.8
|
8.1
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.3
|
6.7
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.9
|
4.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Barcelona
1-0
Celta Vigo
Nov 2025
Celta Vigo
2-4
Barcelona
Apr 2025
Barcelona
4-3
Celta Vigo
Nov 2024
Celta Vigo
2-2
Barcelona
Feb 2024
Celta Vigo
1-2
Barcelona
Sep 2023
Barcelona
3-2
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.