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Sunday 19 February 2017, 21:45 Camp Nou Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
89% 8% 2%
Home win
89.3%
Draw
8.2%
Away win
2.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Barcelona 89.3% 1.12
Draw 8.2% 12.24
Leganes 2.5% 40.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.4% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.6% 37.81
Over 1.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.2% 8.91
Over 2.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.2% 3.54
Over 3.5 51.0% 1.96
Under 3.5 49.0% 2.04
Over 4.5 31.6% 3.16
Under 4.5 68.4% 1.46

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.9% 2.78
No 64.1% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Barcelona / Draw 97.5% 1.03
Barcelona / Leganes 91.8% 1.09
Draw / Leganes 10.7% 9.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.6
0.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
7.7
3.9
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
12.8
6.0
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
13.9
6.5
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
11.3
5.3
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
7.4
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Barcelona goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.