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Saturday 14 January 2017, 14:00 Municipal de Butarque Full time
25% 31% 44%
Home win
24.9%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
44.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 24.9% 4.01
Draw 31.1% 3.21
Athletic Club 44.0% 2.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.5% 7.43
Over 1.5 61.9% 1.61
Under 1.5 38.1% 2.63
Over 2.5 34.1% 2.93
Under 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.5% 6.45
Under 3.5 84.5% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 17.01
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.0% 2.44
No 59.0% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 56.0% 1.78
Leganes / Athletic Club 68.9% 1.45
Draw / Athletic Club 75.1% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.5
14.7
9.4
3.8
1.2
0.3
1
10.0
13.9
8.0
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
4.6
5.5
3.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.3
1.6
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.