Saturday 3 December 2016, 19:30
Municipal de Butarque
Full time
16%
27%
58%
Home win
15.6%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
57.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes / Draw | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Leganes / Villarreal | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
16.0
|
12.9
|
6.7
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
12.0
|
8.8
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
3.9
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Villarreal
3-0
Leganes
Dec 2024
Leganes
2-5
Villarreal
Mar 2020
Villarreal
1-2
Leganes
Sep 2019
Leganes
0-3
Villarreal
Apr 2019
Villarreal
2-1
Leganes
Sep 2018
Leganes
0-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.