Sunday 6 November 2016, 13:00
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
86%
9%
4%
Home win
86.4%
Draw
9.3%
Away win
4.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 9.3% | 10.75 | — | — |
| Leganes | 4.3% | 23.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.8% | 55.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.2% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.8% | 12.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Leganes | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 13.6% | 7.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
6.8
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.4
|
7.7
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.9
|
6.6
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.1
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Real Madrid
3-2
Leganes
Nov 2024
Leganes
0-3
Real Madrid
Jul 2020
Leganes
2-2
Real Madrid
Oct 2019
Real Madrid
5-0
Leganes
Apr 2019
Leganes
1-1
Real Madrid
Sep 2018
Real Madrid
4-1
Leganes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.