Sunday 23 October 2016, 19:30
La Rosaleda
Full time
45%
28%
27%
Home win
44.8%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
26.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Leganes | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.9% | 10.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Malaga / Leganes | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
8.3
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
13.5
|
6.5
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.9
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
4.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.