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Sunday 15 October 2017, 19:30 La Rosaleda Full time
0–2
HT 0–0
40% 31% 28%
Home win
40.5%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
28.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Malaga 40.5% 2.47
Draw 31.4% 3.18
Leganes 28.1% 3.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.53
Over 1.5 62.3% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.7% 2.66
Over 2.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 2.5 65.5% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.34
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.60
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.1% 2.37
No 57.9% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Malaga / Draw 71.9% 1.39
Malaga / Leganes 68.6% 1.46
Draw / Leganes 59.5% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
10.7
5.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
13.7
14.1
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
8.4
7.7
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.3
3.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Malaga goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.