Saturday 23 September 2017, 19:30
La Rosaleda
Full time
29%
30%
40%
Home win
29.3%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
40.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Malaga / Athletic Club | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
12.4
|
8.1
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
10.0
|
14.0
|
8.1
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
6.6
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2018
Athletic Club
2-1
Malaga
Mar 2017
Athletic Club
1-0
Malaga
Oct 2016
Malaga
2-1
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.