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Saturday 26 August 2017, 21:15 Estadi Montilivi Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
59% 22% 19%
Home win
59.0%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
19.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona 59.0% 1.70
Draw 22.0% 4.55
Malaga 19.0% 5.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.96
Over 1.5 83.1% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.9% 5.91
Over 2.5 61.4% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.6% 2.59
Over 3.5 39.1% 2.56
Under 3.5 60.9% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.4% 4.67
Under 4.5 78.6% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.0% 1.70
No 41.0% 2.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona / Draw 81.0% 1.24
Girona / Malaga 78.0% 1.28
Draw / Malaga 41.0% 2.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
4.1
2.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
1
8.1
10.1
5.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.0
9.9
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
6.2
6.8
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
3.2
3.5
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
1.3
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Girona goals. Columns: Malaga goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.