Sunday 14 May 2017, 21:00
Anoeta
Full time
51%
26%
24%
Home win
50.7%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
23.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Malaga | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.4% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Malaga | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
6.2
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
12.2
|
6.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
9.6
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
5.4
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Malaga
2-0
Real Sociedad
Dec 2017
Real Sociedad
0-2
Malaga
Jan 2017
Malaga
0-2
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.