Wednesday 26 April 2017, 21:30
Mestalla
Full time
40%
25%
35%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
35.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.3% | 5.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| No | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Valencia / Real Sociedad | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
6.3
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.8
|
11.7
|
8.1
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
8.7
|
6.4
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
4.6
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Real Sociedad
3-4
Valencia
Aug 2025
Valencia
1-1
Real Sociedad
Jan 2025
Valencia
1-0
Real Sociedad
Sep 2024
Real Sociedad
3-0
Valencia
May 2024
Real Sociedad
1-0
Valencia
Sep 2023
Valencia
0-1
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.