Sunday 16 April 2017, 17:15
Mestalla
Full time
33%
24%
43%
Home win
33.0%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
43.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.2% | 7.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.0% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Valencia / Sevilla | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
5.6
|
5.6
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
4.7
|
10.2
|
8.8
|
5.3
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
4.2
|
7.6
|
6.9
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
4.0
|
3.6
|
2.2
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Sevilla
0-2
Valencia
Dec 2025
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Apr 2025
Valencia
1-0
Sevilla
Jan 2025
Sevilla
1-1
Valencia
Feb 2024
Valencia
0-0
Sevilla
Aug 2023
Sevilla
1-2
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.