Saturday 15 April 2017, 21:45
Camp Nou
Full time
78%
14%
8%
Home win
77.6%
Draw
14.0%
Away win
8.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.0% | 7.16 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 8.5% | 11.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.6% | 38.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.3% | 9.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.4% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Real Sociedad | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.6
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
8.5
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.0
|
8.2
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.5
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.8
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
2-1
Barcelona
Sep 2025
Barcelona
2-1
Real Sociedad
Mar 2025
Barcelona
4-0
Real Sociedad
Nov 2024
Real Sociedad
1-0
Barcelona
May 2024
Barcelona
2-0
Real Sociedad
Nov 2023
Real Sociedad
0-1
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.