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Sunday 10 September 2017, 17:15 San Mamés Full time
Athletic Club
2–0
HT 1–0
Girona
43% 29% 28%
Home win
43.2%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
28.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 43.2% 2.32 — —
Draw 28.7% 3.48 — —
Girona 28.1% 3.56 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.2% 1.11 — —
Under 0.5 9.8% 10.24 — —
Over 1.5 70.1% 1.43 — —
Under 1.5 29.9% 3.35 — —
Over 2.5 43.3% 2.31 — —
Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76 — —
Over 3.5 22.3% 4.48 — —
Under 3.5 77.7% 1.29 — —
Over 4.5 9.7% 10.31 — —
Under 4.5 90.3% 1.11 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.1% 2.04 — —
No 50.9% 1.96 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 71.9% 1.39 — —
Athletic Club / Girona 71.3% 1.40 — —
Draw / Girona 56.8% 1.76 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.8
8.7
4.9
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
11.5
13.6
6.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.3
8.7
4.6
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
3.8
4.0
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Girona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Athletic Club
L D L D W
Girona
D W

Head to head

Mar 2026 Girona 3-0 Athletic Club Sep 2025 Athletic Club 1-1 Girona Feb 2025 Athletic Club 3-0 Girona Oct 2024 Girona 2-1 Athletic Club Feb 2024 Athletic Club 3-2 Girona Nov 2023 Girona 1-1 Athletic Club

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.