Saturday 3 March 2018, 19:30
Municipal de Butarque
Full time
42%
33%
25%
Home win
42.0%
Draw
32.8%
Away win
25.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Malaga | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.7% | 6.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.7% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.6% | 7.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.4% | 22.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| No | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes / Draw | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Leganes / Malaga | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.7
|
11.1
|
4.7
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.7
|
13.9
|
5.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
7.3
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.