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Wednesday 21 February 2018, 19:45 Municipal de Butarque Full time
17% 23% 60%
Home win
16.8%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
60.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 16.8% 5.97
Draw 23.1% 4.33
Real Madrid 60.1% 1.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 15.03
Over 1.5 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.3% 4.48
Over 2.5 53.3% 1.88
Under 2.5 46.7% 2.14
Over 3.5 31.0% 3.23
Under 3.5 69.0% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.4% 6.51
Under 4.5 84.6% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.3% 1.95
No 48.7% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 39.9% 2.51
Leganes / Real Madrid 76.9% 1.30
Draw / Real Madrid 83.2% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
10.8
10.9
6.9
3.3
1.3
1
4.8
11.0
9.9
6.3
3.0
1.1
2
2.5
4.7
4.5
2.8
1.4
0.5
3
0.7
1.4
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.2
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.