Sunday 21 January 2018, 17:15
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
82%
12%
6%
Home win
81.8%
Draw
12.0%
Away win
6.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.0% | 8.33 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 6.2% | 16.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 40.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.1% | 9.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Deportivo La Coruna | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
5.5
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
7.9
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.2
|
8.0
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.8
|
6.1
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.8
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
0-3
Real Madrid
Apr 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
2-6
Real Madrid
Dec 2016
Real Madrid
3-2
Deportivo La Coruna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.