Sunday 7 January 2018, 21:45
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
20%
20%
60%
Home win
20.1%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
59.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.2% | 8.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 32.8% | 3.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Real Madrid | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
5.4
|
6.9
|
5.5
|
3.2
|
1.5
|
| 1 |
2.8
|
8.3
|
9.2
|
7.3
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
| 2 |
2.2
|
5.2
|
6.2
|
4.8
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
2.3
|
2.7
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Dec 2025
Real Madrid
0-2
Celta Vigo
May 2025
Real Madrid
3-2
Celta Vigo
Oct 2024
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Mar 2024
Real Madrid
4-0
Celta Vigo
Aug 2023
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.