Saturday 2 December 2017, 14:00
Camp Nou
Full time
88%
8%
4%
Home win
87.6%
Draw
8.3%
Away win
4.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.3% | 12.10 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 4.1% | 24.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.7% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.3% | 79.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.7% | 17.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 16.8% | 5.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Celta Vigo | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 12.4% | 8.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.7
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
6.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
7.5
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.5
|
7.0
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.3
|
5.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Barcelona
1-0
Celta Vigo
Nov 2025
Celta Vigo
2-4
Barcelona
Apr 2025
Barcelona
4-3
Celta Vigo
Nov 2024
Celta Vigo
2-2
Barcelona
Feb 2024
Celta Vigo
1-2
Barcelona
Sep 2023
Barcelona
3-2
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.