Sunday 29 October 2017, 21:45
La Rosaleda
Full time
40%
26%
34%
Home win
39.9%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
34.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.6% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 39.1% | 2.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Malaga / Celta Vigo | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
6.5
|
5.2
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
11.9
|
8.0
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.1
|
8.7
|
6.3
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.5
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.