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Saturday 18 November 2017, 19:30 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
61% 21% 18%
Home win
60.7%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
18.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 60.7% 1.65
Draw 20.9% 4.77
Celta Vigo 18.3% 5.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.9% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.1% 24.48
Over 1.5 85.1% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.9% 6.73
Over 2.5 64.8% 1.54
Under 2.5 35.2% 2.84
Over 3.5 42.8% 2.34
Under 3.5 57.2% 1.75
Over 4.5 24.4% 4.09
Under 4.5 75.6% 1.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.1% 1.64
No 38.9% 2.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 81.7% 1.22
Sevilla / Celta Vigo 79.1% 1.26
Draw / Celta Vigo 39.3% 2.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.1
3.5
2.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
1
7.3
9.4
5.1
1.9
0.6
0.1
2
8.6
9.8
5.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
6.3
7.2
4.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
4
3.4
3.9
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.1
5
1.5
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.