Skip to content
Saturday 13 January 2018, 21:45 Estadio de Riazor Full time
28% 24% 48%
Home win
27.6%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
48.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna 27.6% 3.63
Draw 24.3% 4.12
Valencia 48.2% 2.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.00
Over 1.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.4% 5.74
Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.5% 2.53
Over 3.5 38.2% 2.62
Under 3.5 61.8% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.7% 4.83
Under 4.5 79.3% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.0% 1.61
No 38.0% 2.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna / Draw 51.8% 1.93
Deportivo La Coruna / Valencia 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Valencia 72.4% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
7.3
7.1
4.3
1.9
0.7
1
5.2
11.1
9.4
5.7
2.6
0.9
2
3.8
6.9
6.2
3.8
1.7
0.6
3
1.7
3.1
2.8
1.7
0.7
0.3
4
0.6
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.