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Saturday 16 December 2017, 19:30 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
36% 25% 39%
Home win
35.7%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
39.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 35.7% 2.80
Draw 25.1% 3.99
Valencia 39.2% 2.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.54
Over 1.5 82.3% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.7% 5.64
Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.7% 2.65
Under 3.5 62.3% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.92
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.8% 1.59
No 37.2% 2.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 60.8% 1.64
Eibar / Valencia 74.9% 1.34
Draw / Valencia 64.3% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
6.5
5.7
3.0
1.2
0.4
1
6.1
11.4
8.6
4.6
1.8
0.6
2
5.1
8.2
6.5
3.5
1.4
0.4
3
2.6
4.1
3.3
1.7
0.7
0.2
4
1.0
1.6
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.