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Sunday 5 November 2017, 19:30 Anoeta Full time
56% 23% 22%
Home win
55.7%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
21.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 55.7% 1.80
Draw 22.8% 4.39
Eibar 21.6% 4.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.81
Over 1.5 83.0% 1.20
Under 1.5 17.0% 5.90
Over 2.5 61.3% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.7% 2.59
Over 3.5 39.0% 2.56
Under 3.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.4% 4.68
Under 4.5 78.6% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.3% 1.66
No 39.7% 2.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 78.4% 1.27
Real Sociedad / Eibar 77.2% 1.30
Draw / Eibar 44.3% 2.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
4.4
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
7.8
10.5
5.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
2
8.3
9.8
5.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
5.5
6.5
3.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
2.8
3.2
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
1.1
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.