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Sunday 24 September 2017, 21:45 Anoeta Full time
49% 24% 27%
Home win
49.3%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
27.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 49.3% 2.03
Draw 23.7% 4.22
Valencia 27.0% 3.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.89
Over 1.5 83.8% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.2% 6.19
Over 2.5 62.6% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.4% 2.67
Over 3.5 40.4% 2.48
Under 3.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.4% 4.46
Under 4.5 77.6% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.3% 1.58
No 36.7% 2.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 73.0% 1.37
Real Sociedad / Valencia 76.3% 1.31
Draw / Valencia 50.7% 1.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
4.7
3.6
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
6.8
10.7
6.8
3.0
1.0
0.3
2
7.0
9.4
6.4
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
4.4
5.9
4.0
1.8
0.6
0.2
4
2.1
2.8
1.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.8
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.