Friday 18 August 2017, 23:15
Mestalla
Full time
56%
21%
23%
Home win
56.2%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
22.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.3% | 8.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| No | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Valencia / Las Palmas | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
3.3
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.7
|
8.9
|
5.8
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
9.3
|
6.4
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
6.9
|
4.7
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
3.8
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Las Palmas
2-3
Valencia
Oct 2024
Valencia
2-3
Las Palmas
Feb 2024
Las Palmas
2-0
Valencia
Aug 2023
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Jan 2018
Las Palmas
2-1
Valencia
Jan 2017
Las Palmas
3-1
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.