Saturday 6 May 2017, 14:00
El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini
Full time
39%
24%
38%
Home win
38.7%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
37.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.9% | 7.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon / Draw | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Sporting Gijon / Las Palmas | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
5.0
|
4.7
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
10.1
|
8.1
|
4.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
8.2
|
7.0
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
4.7
|
4.0
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
2.0
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.