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Tuesday 25 April 2017, 20:30 El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini Full time
29% 27% 44%
Home win
29.4%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
43.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon 29.4% 3.40
Draw 26.8% 3.73
Espanyol 43.8% 2.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.57
Over 1.5 76.1% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.9% 4.18
Over 2.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.8% 3.47
Under 3.5 71.2% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.21
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.2% 1.81
No 44.8% 2.23

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon / Draw 56.2% 1.78
Sporting Gijon / Espanyol 73.2% 1.37
Draw / Espanyol 70.6% 1.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
9.3
7.6
3.8
1.5
0.4
1
7.2
12.8
9.1
4.6
1.7
0.5
2
4.8
7.2
5.5
2.8
1.0
0.3
3
1.9
2.9
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sporting Gijon goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.