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Saturday 22 April 2017, 19:30 Estadio El Sadar Full time
41% 25% 34%
Home win
41.2%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
33.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna 41.2% 2.43
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Sporting Gijon 33.9% 2.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.28
Over 1.5 82.8% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.2% 5.82
Over 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.1% 2.56
Over 3.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 3.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.0% 4.76
Under 4.5 79.0% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.3% 1.58
No 36.7% 2.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna / Draw 66.1% 1.51
Osasuna / Sporting Gijon 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Sporting Gijon 58.8% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
5.8
4.8
2.4
0.9
0.3
1
6.5
11.2
7.9
3.9
1.5
0.4
2
5.9
8.8
6.6
3.3
1.2
0.4
3
3.3
4.9
3.6
1.8
0.7
0.2
4
1.4
2.0
1.5
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.4
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Osasuna goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.