Skip to content
Sunday 4 December 2016, 19:30 El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini Full time
41% 27% 32%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
32.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon 40.6% 2.46
Draw 27.1% 3.69
Osasuna 32.3% 3.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.58
Over 1.5 76.1% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.9% 4.18
Over 2.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.9% 3.46
Under 3.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.20
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.6% 1.80
No 44.4% 2.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon / Draw 67.7% 1.48
Sporting Gijon / Osasuna 72.9% 1.37
Draw / Osasuna 59.4% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
7.7
5.3
2.2
0.7
0.2
1
8.9
12.9
7.7
3.2
1.0
0.3
2
6.9
8.8
5.6
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.4
4.2
2.7
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
1.2
1.5
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sporting Gijon goals. Columns: Osasuna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.