Saturday 20 January 2018, 21:45
Gran Canaria
Full time
21%
21%
57%
Home win
21.4%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
57.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
| Valencia | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.6% | 27.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.2% | 7.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.3% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Valencia | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.6
|
6.2
|
7.4
|
5.4
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
3.4
|
9.2
|
9.5
|
7.0
|
3.8
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.6
|
6.2
|
4.5
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
2.4
|
2.7
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Las Palmas
2-3
Valencia
Oct 2024
Valencia
2-3
Las Palmas
Feb 2024
Las Palmas
2-0
Valencia
Aug 2023
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Aug 2017
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Jan 2017
Las Palmas
3-1
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.