Sunday 7 May 2017, 17:15
Mestalla
Full time
68%
18%
15%
Home win
67.6%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
14.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.8% | 5.62 | — | — |
| Osasuna | 14.7% | 6.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 35.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.8% | 9.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Valencia / Osasuna | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Osasuna | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.7
|
7.5
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
9.2
|
5.3
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.8
|
7.9
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.4
|
5.1
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.6
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Valencia
1-0
Osasuna
Aug 2025
Osasuna
1-0
Valencia
Mar 2025
Osasuna
3-3
Valencia
Sep 2024
Valencia
0-0
Osasuna
Apr 2024
Osasuna
0-1
Valencia
Aug 2023
Valencia
1-2
Osasuna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.